Mark Caserta: Free State Patriot Editor
9.10.15
Let me offer my view on “The Trump Effect”.
The candidate field is vast. When the candidates begin to narrow to 3 or 4, 30% will not be enough to win the presidency.
So, in short, expect Donald Trump to fade as we head into 2016. And as much as I respect Dr. Carson, I think he would be better suited as a member of the next GOP president’s cabinet.
Another factor which will change the entire scenario, is that Hillary Clinton has already begun to fade – quickly. She will NOT be the Democrat’s nominee and neither will Joe Biden.
I fully expect Al Gore or John Kerry to be persuaded by Democrat leadership to throw their hat in the ring before the end of the year.
At that point, this gets serious, so serious that people supporting Trump out of emotional disdain for politics, will quickly turn to a viable, “winnable” GOP candidate.
Please don’t doubt me on this.
I’m hopeful it will be a Governor, like Scott Walker, who has already won 3 elections in the past 4 years and survived a recall vote where the labor unions threw everything they had at him – and lost.
And I believe Carly Fiorina would be the “perfect” running mate. She’s tough, very, very smart and understands business.
She would also get the female voters.
So…my early prediction (feel free to doubt me on this)
Walker/Fiorina 2016
Free State Patriot 
Strange, how when Trump first threw his hat in the ring, everyone said he would never run, and then he wouldn’t give his income, and that he really wasn’t serious about actually running. He just wanted to stroke his ego! They claimed he was a clown, and would shoot himself in the foot, because he was so crude, and didn’t know the first thing about running for president.
Then, when he kept going, and led the parade, everyone was sure he would say or do something to lose his support. And yet he just kept on going. Now that he has around 35% of the polls, you say someone with 30% can’t win, while you predict someone like Scott walker, who has next to no percentage in the polls will surpass him?
While, I agree that Trump is rough around the edges, and people think he sounds like a sixth grader, when he speaks, all those republicans, that promised to straighten out Obama’s messes, and illegal actions, who speak like the college graduates that they are, have failed the Republican voters, who put them in with faith they would actually do what they promised to do.
At this point, I think I would rather have a sixth grader running the country, who has shown his success in business, than the ones that the GOP has picked. Have you ever watched the program where adults compete with sixth graders, thinking they know a little something, only to be shown up by children?
Maybe that is something you haven’t taken into consideration, when you make your projections. So far, the media, and the political analyzers have been way off the mark, but we will see what we will see!
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Good thoughts! It’s certainly interesting.
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Reblogged this on Brittius.
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Right now, while the field is big, Trump has 30%. Those who have less than him are two or three, non political runners. So the majority of the polls are split between about five people, while the other have very little support. Once the field is narrowed down, it will still be the top people running against each other, which are all highest in the polls. While 30% can’t win, once the others are eliminated, where are their supporters going to go?
Personally, I would go for Carson or Cruz, but just because the field gets narrowed, it does not mean Trump will lose his numbers, it may mean that he will gain a few more.
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